The scientific community has come to an apparent consensus on how projected global warming over the next century will affect our tropical storms The scientific community has come to an apparent consensus on how projected global warming over the next century will affect our tropical storms, including hurricanes, cyclones and typhoons. A special World Meteorological Organization panel of 10 researchers of both storms and climate change published a report yesterday in the journal Nature Geoscience which predicts that while the number of storms in the future will decrease, their strength will grow. The analysis is based on past storm data and computer models that project future weather patterns and storm activity.
The study finds that by the year 2100, the number of storms worldwide should decrease 6 percent, from the current average of 87 storms a year to as few as 57. This would be due to a warmer climate's increased wind shear which would help break up some developing storms. At the same time the study projects that due to warmer waters, storm strength would also increase 9 percent by the end of the century.